RISK
Risk Disclaimer
Phane Shane publishes market intelligence and analytical tools. They are informational and educational. They are not advice, they do not predict the future, and acting on them can lose you money — including all of it.
01Informational and educational only
Everything published on this site and produced by the products — research, commentary, dashboards, indicators, models, signals, scores, simulations, and forecasts — is provided for information and education. It describes how we look at markets. It does not tell you what to do.
02This is not advice
Nothing here is investment, financial, trading, legal, tax, accounting, brokerage, or fiduciary advice, and nothing here is a personal recommendation.
- We do not know your circumstances, objectives, resources, or risk tolerance.
- We do not assess whether anything is suitable or appropriate for you.
- We do not manage money, hold client funds, execute orders, or act as your broker or adviser.
- No content constitutes an offer or solicitation to buy or sell anything.
- No fiduciary or advisory relationship is created by your use of this platform.
If you need advice, obtain it from someone qualified and authorised to give it to you where you live.
03You can lose money, including all of it
Trading and investing carry substantial risk. Prediction markets, derivatives, and leveraged instruments carry more. Losses can exceed expectations, can happen quickly, and can be total. In some leveraged products, losses can exceed the amount you deposited.
Never commit money you cannot afford to lose entirely.
04Specific risks you are accepting
- Leverage
- Magnifies losses as well as gains, and can force liquidation at the worst possible moment.
- Liquidity
- A position may be impossible to exit at a sensible price, or at all. Prediction markets and thinly-traded instruments are particularly exposed.
- Volatility and gaps
- Prices can move sharply, and can gap through stop levels without trading at them.
- Model risk
- Every model is a simplification. Its assumptions can be wrong, can stop holding, or can be invalidated by a change in market structure. A model that worked can stop working without warning.
- Data errors
- Upstream data can be wrong, revised, delayed, or missing. Our output inherits any error in its inputs.
- Latency
- Information reaches you after the market has already moved. Nothing here should be treated as real-time or as tradeable at the price you see.
- Execution risk
- Slippage, partial fills, rejected orders, and fees change results. Your outcome will differ from any modelled outcome.
- Third-party outages
- Exchanges, brokers, data vendors, and infrastructure providers fail. So can this platform. Access may be unavailable exactly when you want it.
- Regulatory and counterparty risk
- Rules change, venues restrict access, and counterparties fail. Availability of an instrument where you live is your responsibility to establish.
05Past and simulated results guarantee nothing
Historical performance, backtests, simulations, paper trading, indicators, scores, forecasts, and signals do not guarantee or indicate future results.
Simulated results in particular have inherent limitations: they are prepared with hindsight, they do not involve financial risk, and they cannot fully account for liquidity, slippage, fees, or the effect of your own orders on the market. No representation is made that any account will or is likely to achieve results similar to any figure shown.
06Independent assessment and compliance
You remain solely responsible for your own research, your own decisions, and their consequences. Verify anything you intend to rely on against your own sources.
You are responsible for complying with the laws, tax rules, and market restrictions that apply to you where you are. Some instruments discussed here are restricted or unavailable in some countries. We do not assess that for you.
07No representation of suitability
We make no representation that any product, dataset, model, or piece of analysis is suitable or appropriate for you, for your objectives, or for your situation. Access being granted to you is not a statement that using it is a good idea for you.
08Products in development
Some products described on this site are in development or planned and are not publicly operational. Descriptions of intended behaviour are design intent, not a description of a running service, not a commitment to release, and not a promise of capability. Access to a product exists only where an active entitlement exists on your account.